Dr Joseph Guillaume

Contacts

Ph.B. (Science) ANU, Ph.D. (Natural Resource Management) ANU
Research Fellow in the Institute for Water Futures

Dr Joseph Guillaume is a Research Fellow in the Institute for Water Futures and the Fenner School of Environment & Society.

Dr Guillaume specialises in uncertainty management in decision support, with a particular focus on water resources and the use of integrated modelling. As part of an interdisciplinary approach, research includes development of new algorithms and tools for uncertainty analysis and decision support, modelling, text analysis, interviews and workshop based approaches to understanding current uncertainty management practices, and action research exploring alternative futures and institutional arrangements to improve organisational capacity to tackle an uncertain future.

A collaborative approach to research is preferred, working closely with industry and government partners, as well as undergraduate (special topics and Advanced Studies Courses), Honours, Masters and PhD students. Dr Guillaume is always keen to hear from good students and to collaboratively develop topics of mutual interest.

Dr Guillaume previously worked at the Water and Development Research Group at Aalto University (2014-2019), and holds an ARC Discovery Early Career Research Award (DECRA) focused on advancing uncertainty prioritisation in water resource management. He is Associate Editor for Journal of Hydrology and on the Editorial Boards of Environmental Modelling & Software and Frontiers in Water: Water and the Critical Zone.

Research interests

Managing uncertainty in supporting natural resource management.

  • Decision Support And Group Support Systems
  • Natural Resource Management
  • Optimisation
  • Environmental Education And Extension.
  • Wang, Q, Guillaume, J, Jakeman, J et al. 2023, 'A Decision-Relevant Factor-Fixing Framework: Application to Uncertainty Analysis of a High-Dimensional Water Quality Model', Water Resources Research, vol. 59, no. 8, p. 30.
  • Noble, L, Guillaume, J, Wyborn, C et al. 2023, 'How can management of uncertainty in sustainable diversion limits be advanced in the review of the Murray-Darling Basin Plan?', Australasian Journal of Water Resources, vol. 27, no. 2.
  • Wang, Q, Guillaume, J, Jakeman, J et al. 2022, 'Assessing the predictive impact of factor fixing with an adaptive uncertainty-based approach', Environmental Modelling and Software, vol. 148, pp. 1-15.
  • Rosello, C, Guillaume, J, Taylor, P et al. 2022, 'Identifying Minimum Information Requirements to Improve Integrated Modeling Capabilities: Lessons Learned From Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways', Frontiers in Water, vol. 4.
  • Derepasko, D, Guillaume, J, Horne, A et al. 2021, 'Considering scale within optimization procedures for water management decisions: Balancing environmental flows and human needs', Environmental Modelling and Software, vol. 139.
  • Razavi, S, Jakeman, A, Saltelli, A et al. 2021, 'The Future of Sensitivity Analysis: An essential discipline for systems modeling and policy support', Environmental Modelling and Software, vol. 137.
  • Kallio, M, Guillaume, J, Virkki, V et al. 2021, 'Hydrostreamer v1.0 - Improved streamflow predictions for local applications from an ensemble of downscaled global runoff products', Geoscientific Model Development, vol. 14, no. 8, pp. 5155-5181.
  • Astagneau, P, Thirel, G, Delaigue, O et al. 2021, 'Technical note: Hydrology modelling R packages - A unified analysis of models and practicalities from a user perspective', Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, vol. 25, no. 7, pp. 3937-3973.
  • Zare, F, Guillaume, J, Elsawah, S et al. 2021, 'A formative and self-reflective approach to monitoring and evaluation of interdisciplinary team research: An integrated water resource modelling application in Australia', Journal of Hydrology, vol. 596.
  • Iwanaga, T, Sun, X, Wang, Q et al. 2021, 'Property-based Sensitivity Analysis: An approach to identify model implementation and integration errors', Environmental Modelling and Software, vol. 139.
  • Meinard, Y, Barreteau, O, Boschet, C, Daniell, KA, Ferrand, N, Girard, S, Guillaume, JH, Hassenforder, E, Lord, M, Merad, M and Nabavi, E 2021, 'What is Policy Analytics? An Exploration of 5 Years of Environmental Management Applications', Environmental Management (New York), vol. 67, pp. 886-900.
  • Munia, H, Guillaume, J, Wada, Y et al. 2020, 'Future Transboundary Water Stress and Its Drivers Under Climate Change: A Global Study', Earth's Future, vol. 8, no. 7, pp. 1-21.
  • Fu, B, Guillaume, J, Jakeman, A et al. 2020, 'A bricolage-style exploratory scenario analysis to manage uncertainty in socio-environmental systems modeling: investigating integrated water management options', Socio-Environmental Systems Modelling, vol. 2.
  • Zare, F, Guillaume, J, Jakeman, A et al. 2020, 'Reflective communication to improve problem-solving pathways: Key issues illustrated for an integrated environmental modelling case study', Environmental Modelling and Software, vol. 126, pp. 1-16.
  • Arnold, T, Guillaume, J, Lahtinen, T et al. 2020, 'From ad-hoc modelling to strategic infrastructure: A manifesto for model management', Environmental Modelling and Software, vol. 123.
  • Guillaume, J, Sojamo, S, Porkka, M et al. 2020, 'Giving Legs to Handprint Thinking: Foundations for Evaluating the Good We Do', Earth's Future, vol. 8, no. 6, pp. 1-20.
  • Colloff, M, Connell, D, Daniell, K et al. 2020, Water reform for all: a national response to a water emergency.
  • Kallio, M, Virkki, V, Guillaume, J et al. 2019, 'Downscaling runoff products using areal interpolation: a
    combined pycnophylactic-dasymetric method', 23rd International Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM2019), ed. S Elsawah, Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand Inc (MSSANZ), Australia, pp. 1007-1013.
  • Zare, F, Guillaume, J & Jakeman, A 2019, 'Constructing customized modelling guidelines: A Participatory Integrated Assessment and Modelling example', 23rd International Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM2019), ed. S Elsawah, Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand Inc (MSSANZ), Australia, pp. 937-943.
  • Nikkels, M, Guillaume, J, Leith, P et al. 2019, 'Participatory Crossover Analysis to Support Discussions about Investments in Irrigation Water Sources', Water, vol. 11, no. 7.
  • Hamilton, S, Fu, B, Guillaume, J et al 2019, 'A framework for characterising and evaluating the effectiveness of environmental modelling', Environmental Modelling and Software, vol. 118, pp. 83-98.
  • Guillaume, J, Jakeman, J, Marsili-Libelli, S et al 2019, 'Introductory overview of identifiability analysis: A guide to evaluating whether you have the right type of data for your modeling purpose', Environmental Modelling and Software, vol. 119, pp. 418-432.
  • Nikkels, M, Guillaume, J, Leith, P et al 2019, 'Sharing Reasoning Behind Individual Decisions to Invest in Joint Infrastructure', Water, vol. 11, no. 4, pp. 1-21.
  • Badham, J, Hunt, R, Guillaume, J et al 2019, 'Effective modeling for Integrated Water Resource Management: a guide to contextual practices by phases and steps and future opportunities', Environmental Modelling and Software, vol. 116, pp. 40-56.
  • Merritt, W, Fu, B, Ticehurst, J et al 2017, 'Realizing modelling outcomes: A synthesis of success factors and their use in a retrospective analysis of 15 Australian water resource projects', Environmental Modelling and Software, vol. 94, pp. 63-72pp.
  • Guillaume, J, Helgeson, C, El Sawah, S et al 2017, 'Toward best practice framing of uncertainty in scientific publications: A review of Water Resources Research abstracts', Water Resources Research, vol. 53, no. 8, pp. 6744-6762.
  • Kummu, M, Fader, M, Gerten, D et al 2017, 'Bringing it all together: linking measures to secure nations' food supply', Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, vol. 29, pp. 98-117pp.
  • Lahtinen, T, Guillaume, J & Hamalainen, R 2017, 'Why pay attention to paths in the practice of environmental modelling?', Environmental Modelling and Software, vol. 92, no. -, pp. 74-81pp.
  • Munia, H, Guillaume, J, Mirumachi, N et al 2016, 'Water stress in global transboundary river basins: significance of upstream water use on downstream stress', Environmental Research Letters, vol. 11, no. 1, p. 014002.
  • Jalava, M, Guillaume, J, Kummu, M et al 2016, 'Diet Change and Food Loss Reduction: What Is Their Combined Impact on Global Water Use and Scarcity?', Earth's Future, vol. 4, no. 3, pp. 62-78.
  • Maier, H, Guillaume, J, van Delden, H et al 2016, 'An uncertain future, deep uncertainty, scenarios, robustness and adaptation: How do they fit together?', Environmental Modelling and Software, vol. 81, pp. 154-164.
  • Guillaume, J, Hunt, R, Comunian, A et al 2016, 'Methods for Exploring Uncertainty in Groundwater Management Predictions', in A J Jakeman, O Barreteau, R J Hunt, J-D Rinaudo, A Ross (ed.), Integrated Groundwater Management. Concepts, Approaches and Challenges, Springer Nature, Online, pp. 711-737.
  • El Sawah, S & Guillaume, J 2016, 'Incorporating Human Aspects into Groundwater Research and Policy Making: A Soft and Critical Systems Thinking Approach', in A J Jakeman, O Barreteau, R J Hunt, J-D Rinaudo, A Ross (ed.), Integrated Groundwater Management. Concepts, Approaches and Challenges, Springer Nature, Online, pp. 619-637.
  • Kummu, M, Guillaume, J, de Moel, H et al 2016, 'The world's road to water scarcity: Shortage and stress in the 20th century and pathways towards sustainability', Scientific Reports, vol. 6, no. 38495, pp. 1-16pp.
  • Keskinen, H, Guillaume, J, Kattelus, M et al 2016, 'The Water-Energy-Food Nexus and the Transboundary Context: Insights from Large Asian Rivers', Water, vol. 8, no. 5, pp. 1-25pp.
  • Guillaume, J, Arshad, M, Jakeman, A et al 2016, 'Robust discrimination between uncertain management alternatives by iterative reflection on crossover point scenarios: Principles, design and implementations', Environmental Modelling and Software, vol. 83, no. 1, pp. 326-343pp.
  • Rasanen, T, Lindgren, V, Guillaume, J et al 2016, 'On the spatial and temporal variability of ENSO precipitation and drought teleconnection in mainland Southeast Asia', Climate of the Past, vol. 12, no. 9, pp. 1889-1905pp.
  • Shin, M, Guillaume, J, Croke, B et al 2015, 'A review of foundational methods for checking the structural identifiability of models: Results for rainfall-runoff', Journal of Hydrology, vol. 520, pp. 1-16.
  • Hamilton, S, El Sawah, S, Guillaume, J et al 2015, 'Integrated assessment and modelling: Overview and synthesis of salient dimensions', Environmental Modelling and Software, vol. 64, pp. 215-229.
  • Fu, B, Guillaume, J & Jakeman, A 2015, 'An iterative method for discovering feasible management interventions and targets conjointly using uncertainty visualizations', Environmental Modelling and Software, vol. 71, pp. 159-173.
  • Seo, L, Croke, B, van Griensven, A et al 2015, 'Effects of climate, objective function and sample size on global sensitivity in a SWAT Model', 21st International Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM2015), ed. Weber, T., McPhee, M.J. and Anderssen, R.S., The Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand Inc., Australia, pp. 91-97.
  • Guillaume, J, Arshad, M, Jakeman, A et al 2015, 'Using scenarios describing cross-over points to explore uncertainty in comparison of environmental management alternatives', 21st International Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM2015), ed. Weber, T., McPhee, M.J. and Anderssen, R.S., The Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand Inc., Australia, p. 463.
  • Elsawah S, Guillaume JHA, Filatova T, Rook J, Jakeman AJ 2015, 'A methodology for eliciting, representing, and analysing stakeholder knowledge for decision making on complex socio-ecological systems: From cognitive maps to agent-based models', Journal of Environmental Management, vol. 151, pp. 500-516.
  • Guillaume, J, Kummu, M, Rasanen, T, Jakeman, AJ 2015, 'Prediction under uncertainty as a boundary problem: A general formulation using Iterative Closed Question Modelling', Environmental Modelling and Software, vol. 70, pp. 97-112.
  • Jakeman, A, Kelly (nee Letcher), R, Ticehurst, J et al. 2014, 'Modelling for Managing the Complex Issue of Catchment-Scale surface and Groundwater Allocation', in Obaidat, M.S., Filipe, J., Kacprzyk, J., Pina, N. (ed.), Simulation and Modelling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications, Springer, Heidelberg, pp. 25-41.
  • Fu, B & Guillaume, J 2014, 'Assessing certainty and uncertainty in riparian habitat suitability models by identifying parameters with extreme outputs', Environmental Modelling and Software, vol. 60, pp. 277-289.
  • Haasnoot, M, van Deursen, W, Guillaume, J et al 2014, 'Fit for purpose? Building and evaluating a fast, integrated model for exploring water policy pathways', Environmental Modelling and Software, vol. 60, pp. 99-120.
  • Guillaume, J & El Sawah, S 2014, 'Fostering assumption-based stress-test thinking in managing groundwater systems: learning to avoid failures due to basic dynamics', Hydrogeology Journal, vol. 22, no. 7, pp. 1507-1523.
  • Croke, B, Blakers, R, El Sawah, S et al. 2014, 'Marrying Hydrological Modelling and Integrated Assessment for the needs of Water Resource Management', Bologna IAHS 2014 - 6th IAHS-EGU International Symposium on Integrated Water Resources Management, IAHS Press, Italy, pp. 351-356.
  • Vervoort, R, Miechels, S, van Ogtrop, F et al 2014, 'Remotely sensed evapotranspiration to calibrate a lumped conceptual model: Pitfalls and opportunities', Journal of Hydrology, vol. 519, pp. 3223-3236.
  • Arshad, M, Guillaume, J & ROSS, A 2014, 'Assessing the Feasibility of Managed Aquifer Recharge for Irrigation under Uncertainty', Water, vol. 6, no. 9, pp. 2748-2769.
  • Guillaume, J, Kummu, M, Porkka, M et al 2014, 'A conceptual model to guide exploration of global food-water security', 7th International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software, iEMSs 2014, ed. D P Ames, N W T Quinn, A E Rizzoli, Conference Organising Committee, USA, pp. 2210-2217.
  • Kasprzyk, J, Guillaume, J, Kollat, J et al 2014, 'Hypothesis testing for management: Evolving and answering closed questions using multiobjective visualization', 7th International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software, iEMSs 2014, ed. D P Ames, N W T Quinn, A E Rizzoli, Conference Organising Committee, USA, pp. 727-733.
  • Marsili-Libelli, S, Beck, M, Brunner, P et al 2014, 'Practical identifiability analysis of environmental models', 7th International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software, iEMSs 2014, ed. D P Ames, N W T Quinn, A E Rizzoli, Conference Organising Committee, USA, pp. 681-693.
  • Bennett, N, Croke, B, Guariso, G et al 2013, 'Characterising performance of environmental models', Environmental Modelling and Software, vol. 40, pp. 1-20.
  • Pierce, S, Sharp, J, Guillaume, J et al 2013, 'Aquifer-yield continuum as a guide and typology for science-based groundwater management [Le continuum aquifère-débit comme guide typologique pour une gestion scientifique de l'eau souterraine]', Hydrogeology Journal, vol. 21, no. 2, pp. 331-340.
  • Joseph, J & Guillaume, J 2013, 'Using a parallelized MCMC algorithm in R to identify appropriate likelihood functions for SWAT', Environmental Modelling and Software, vol. 46, pp. 292-298.
  • Hamilton, S, Guillaume, J & El Sawah, S 2013, 'Modelling Groundwater Dependent Ecosystems in the Willunga Basin, South Australia', International Congress on Modelling and Simulation MODSIM 2013, ed. Piantadosi, J., Anderssen, R.S. and Boland J., Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand Inc., Australia, pp. 2945-2951.
  • Guillaume, J & Fu, B 2013, 'An interactive modelling tool to support knowledge elicitation using extreme case models', International Congress on Modelling and Simulation MODSIM 2013, ed. Piantadosi, J., Anderssen, R.S. and Boland J., Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand Inc., Australia, pp. 2138-2144.
  • Jakeman, A, Merritt, W, Fu, B et al 2013, 'Decision support systems: experiences, lessons and recommendations', 22nd NSW Coastal Conference, 22nd NSW Coastal Conference, Australia, pp. 1-15pp.
  • Guillaume, J, Shin, MJ & Jakeman, J 2013, 'Understanding the relationship between model parameters, objective function and predictions for data-based modelling with conceptual rainfall-runoff models', 20th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, ed. Piantadosi, J., Anderssen, R.S. and Boland J., Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand Inc., Australia, p. 732.
  • Shin, MJ, Guillaume, JHA, Croke, BFW, Jakeman, AJ 2013, 'Addressing ten questions about conceptual rainfall-runoff models with global sensitivity analyses in R', Journal of Hydrology, vol. 503, pp. 135-152.
  • Guillaume, J, Qureshi, M & Jakeman, A 2012, 'A structured analysis of uncertainty surrounding modeled impacts of groundwater-extraction rules', Hydrogeology Journal, vol. 20, no. 5, pp. 915-932.
  • Guillaume, J & Jakeman, A 2012, 'Providing scientific certainty in predictive decision support: the role of closed questions', International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software (iEMSs 2012), ed. R. Seppelt, A.A. Voinov, S. Lange, D. Bankamp, International Environmental Modelling & Software Society, Leipzig Germany, pp. 1835-1842.
  • Sojda, R, Hamilton, S, El Sawah, S et al 2012, 'Identifying the decision to be supported: A review of papers from environmental modelling and software', 6th Biennial Meeting of the International Environmental Modelling and Software Society: Managing Resources of a Limited Planet, iEMSs 2012, Conference Organising Committee, Leipzig, pp. 73-80.
  • Jakeman, A, Kelly, R, Ticehurst, J, Ross, A, et al 2012, 'Modelling for the complex issue of groundwater management **', International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications (SIMULTECH 2012), Conference Organising Committee, Rome Italy, pp. IS25-IS35.
  • Keesman, K, Koskela, J, Guillaume, J et al 2011, 'Uncertainty modelling and analysis of environmental systems: a river sediment yield example', 19th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, MODSIM 2011, ed. Felix Chan, Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand Inc., Australia, pp. 4106-4112.
  • Guillaume, J 2011, 'A risk-based tool for documenting and auditing the modelling process', 19th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, MODSIM 2011, ed. Felix Chan, Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand Inc., Australia, pp. 3854-3860.
  • El Sawah, S, Guillaume, J & Mitchell, M 2011, 'Using Participatory Rapid Appraisal and DPSIR approaches for participatory modelling: A case study for groundwater management in South Australia', 19th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, MODSIM 2011, ed. Felix Chan, Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand Inc., Australia, pp. 2873-2879.
  • Jakeman, A, El Sawah, S, Guillaume, J et al 2011, 'Making progress in integrated modelling and environmental decision support', IFIP WG 5.11 International Symposium on Environmental Software Systems: Frameworks of eEnvironment (ISESS 2011), ed. J Hrebicek, G Schimak, R Denzer, Springer, Berlin Germany, pp. 15-25.

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